← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.05vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University2.35+3.05vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.91+3.32vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.01vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.56-0.39vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.73+0.92vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.29vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University1.96-1.87vs Predicted
-
9University of Virginia0.82+0.36vs Predicted
-
10Drexel University-0.92+3.56vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University0.06+0.33vs Predicted
-
12Syracuse University-0.81+1.32vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College-0.67-0.02vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.28vs Predicted
-
15Columbia University-0.24-2.86vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University2.50-11.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
-
5.05George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
6.32Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
-
5.01University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
-
4.61U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
-
6.92Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
-
6.71St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
-
6.13Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
-
9.36University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
-
13.56Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
-
11.33Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
-
13.32Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
-
12.98SUNY Maritime College-0.670.0%1st Place
-
12.72SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
-
12.14Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
-
4.78Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 13.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 14.0% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Broussard | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 22.5% | 27.2% |
| Emily Key | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 4.8% |
| Charlotte Smith | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 25.0% |
| Katherine Mooney | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 18.8% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 14.9% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 8.4% |
| Daisy Holthus | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.