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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.52vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.50+1.74vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+1.17vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.96+1.20vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.00vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.06+4.37vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.73-1.28vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.91-2.70vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.82-0.56vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.41vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.92+1.51vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.81+0.29vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.24vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.67-1.91vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.24-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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4.74Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.17George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.2Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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11.37Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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6.72Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.3Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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6.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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13.51Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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13.29Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.09SUNY Maritime College-0.670.0%1st Place
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12.18Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 15.2% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 15.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Broussard | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Key | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 4.3% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 29.9% |
| Charlotte Smith | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 23.4% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 14.4% |
| Katherine Mooney | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 19.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.