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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.41+0.98vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.58+0.91vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.16+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.34-0.78vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.71-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-0.79-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98University of Wisconsin1.410.4%1st Place
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2.91Northwestern University0.580.2%1st Place
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3.48University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
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3.22University of Minnesota0.340.2%1st Place
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4.65Grand Valley State University-0.710.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Schmidt | 44.1% | 29.0% | 15.9% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Anton de Lesseps | 19.3% | 24.5% | 22.3% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 4.2% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 12.5% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 22.6% | 19.2% | 9.4% |
| Michael Stone | 15.8% | 17.3% | 22.9% | 22.5% | 15.7% | 5.8% |
| Ryan Higgins | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 25.8% | 37.8% |
| Bay Hodge | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 25.0% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.