← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University0.58+1.96vs Predicted
-
2University of Illinois0.16+1.47vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.41-1.07vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota0.34-1.76vs Predicted
-
6Grand Valley State University-0.71-1.35vs Predicted
-
7University of Chicago-0.79-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.96Northwestern University0.580.2%1st Place
-
3.47University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
-
1.93University of Wisconsin1.410.5%1st Place
-
3.24University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
-
4.65Grand Valley State University-0.710.0%1st Place
-
4.75University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton de Lesseps | 17.6% | 24.4% | 22.2% | 21.2% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 12.1% | 19.0% | 18.6% | 19.7% | 21.4% | 9.2% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 47.2% | 25.7% | 17.3% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Michael Stone | 14.7% | 18.3% | 22.5% | 22.6% | 16.3% | 5.6% |
| Ryan Higgins | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 26.2% | 37.5% |
| Bay Hodge | 3.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 24.7% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.