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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+3.13vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.70+3.34vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.89vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28-0.15vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.60+0.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.91vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.10-2.71vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.02-1.49vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.94-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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5.34University of South Florida2.700.1%1st Place
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3.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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3.85Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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5.21Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
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5.09U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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4.29Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.51Old Dominion University2.020.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 15.8% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Hillary Noble | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.6% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 17.8% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 16.8% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% |
| Killian Corbishley | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% |
| Genoa Warner | 13.2% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Arianna Baker | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 19.5% | 27.7% |
| Mary Cummins | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.