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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-0.71+3.61vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.34+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.41-1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.79+0.70vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.58-2.94vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.16-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Grand Valley State University-0.710.0%1st Place
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3.18University of Minnesota0.340.2%1st Place
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1.94University of Wisconsin1.410.5%1st Place
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4.7University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
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3.06Northwestern University0.580.2%1st Place
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3.51University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Higgins | 4.7% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 25.0% | 37.9% |
| Michael Stone | 16.0% | 21.0% | 19.9% | 21.8% | 14.7% | 6.6% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 45.6% | 27.2% | 17.8% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Bay Hodge | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 26.4% | 39.3% |
| Anton de Lesseps | 17.8% | 21.0% | 23.5% | 18.9% | 12.9% | 5.9% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 11.3% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 24.2% | 19.0% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.