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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.58+1.26vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.34+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.16-1.29vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.79-1.19vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.71-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Northwestern University0.580.4%1st Place
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2.5University of Minnesota0.340.3%1st Place
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2.71University of Illinois0.160.2%1st Place
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3.81University of Chicago-0.790.1%1st Place
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3.72Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton de Lesseps | 35.1% | 26.6% | 20.5% | 12.5% | 5.3% |
| Michael Stone | 26.9% | 26.2% | 23.7% | 16.9% | 6.3% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 22.2% | 23.9% | 23.9% | 20.3% | 9.7% |
| Bay Hodge | 7.1% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 25.3% | 40.6% |
| Ryan Higgins | 8.7% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 25.0% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.