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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Northwestern University0.58+0.26vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.34-0.49vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.71-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.16-2.28vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-0.79-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Northwestern University0.580.3%1st Place
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2.51University of Minnesota0.340.3%1st Place
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3.71Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.72University of Illinois0.160.2%1st Place
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3.81University of Chicago-0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton de Lesseps | 35.0% | 26.6% | 21.2% | 11.8% | 5.4% |
| Michael Stone | 25.8% | 28.2% | 22.0% | 17.5% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Higgins | 9.5% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 25.9% | 37.2% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 21.2% | 23.7% | 26.0% | 20.1% | 9.0% |
| Bay Hodge | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 24.7% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.