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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.34+1.54vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.58+0.26vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.79+0.78vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.16-1.30vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.71-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Minnesota0.340.3%1st Place
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2.26Northwestern University0.580.3%1st Place
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3.78University of Chicago-0.790.1%1st Place
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2.7University of Illinois0.160.2%1st Place
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3.71Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stone | 26.4% | 26.2% | 23.1% | 15.7% | 8.6% |
| Anton de Lesseps | 33.7% | 27.4% | 21.6% | 13.6% | 3.7% |
| Bay Hodge | 9.0% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 25.0% | 40.6% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 21.9% | 25.1% | 23.8% | 19.4% | 9.8% |
| Ryan Higgins | 9.0% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 26.3% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.