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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.58+1.27vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.79+1.84vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.71+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.34-1.54vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.16-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Northwestern University0.580.3%1st Place
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3.84University of Chicago-0.790.1%1st Place
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3.71Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.46University of Minnesota0.340.3%1st Place
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2.71University of Illinois0.160.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton de Lesseps | 34.6% | 27.1% | 21.0% | 11.6% | 5.7% |
| Bay Hodge | 6.9% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 26.3% | 41.0% |
| Ryan Higgins | 9.5% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 26.3% | 37.5% |
| Michael Stone | 27.4% | 27.3% | 23.3% | 15.6% | 6.4% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 21.6% | 24.5% | 24.3% | 20.2% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.