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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.46+4.02vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.20+3.73vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.60+1.65vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.74+3.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.93vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.83+0.76vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.30-1.61vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+0.48vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.57-1.36vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.57-2.47vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.28-5.69vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.60-1.81vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.05-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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5.73Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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4.65Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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5.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.76Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.39Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.0%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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7.53Yale University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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10.19Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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11.34Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Henry | 12.9% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Perham Black | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 13.4% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Schneider | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Alexander Bowen | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Francis Doyle | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| Rachel Foster | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Charles Lindsay | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 7.4% |
| Andrew Savage | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 3.9% |
| Martin Tipton | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 5.2% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Henry Proud | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 23.8% | 25.5% |
| Zak Dasaro | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 17.5% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.