Race 3A

morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Walter Henry 13.3% 11.8% 10.8% 12.3% 9.9% 10.1% 8.3% 8.7% 6.3% 4.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Rachel Foster 10.1% 11.8% 9.7% 11.2% 10.3% 8.1% 10.1% 9.1% 7.9% 5.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
Kyle Dochoda 14.2% 14.4% 12.2% 11.5% 10.1% 11.2% 8.2% 6.1% 5.7% 3.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Perham Black 10.2% 9.2% 10.4% 10.4% 9.5% 8.5% 8.7% 10.1% 7.8% 7.3% 5.5% 1.6% 0.8%
Francis Doyle 7.3% 7.3% 7.6% 8.6% 8.5% 8.1% 8.4% 8.3% 9.5% 9.6% 9.6% 4.6% 2.6%
Michael O'Flaherty 10.8% 10.4% 11.4% 10.1% 10.6% 10.1% 8.3% 7.5% 8.0% 6.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.5%
Andrew Savage 6.8% 5.0% 7.8% 6.3% 6.1% 5.9% 9.1% 10.0% 7.8% 10.9% 11.6% 9.3% 3.4%
Martin Tipton 5.0% 5.2% 7.0% 5.2% 6.7% 7.8% 7.9% 9.1% 9.6% 12.0% 11.7% 9.7% 3.1%
Zak Dasaro 0.9% 1.6% 2.1% 1.0% 2.1% 2.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.0% 4.8% 8.4% 18.2% 49.8%
Peter Schneider 7.2% 6.4% 6.0% 7.0% 8.2% 8.5% 9.0% 8.4% 10.6% 8.5% 9.2% 8.2% 2.8%
Alexander Bowen 8.8% 11.9% 8.9% 9.8% 9.5% 10.7% 9.0% 8.3% 7.6% 8.0% 3.8% 2.5% 1.2%
Charles Lindsay 3.7% 3.4% 3.7% 4.6% 5.4% 5.6% 6.9% 6.6% 8.5% 11.3% 14.7% 15.7% 9.9%
Henry Proud 1.7% 1.6% 2.4% 2.0% 3.1% 2.7% 3.6% 4.9% 7.7% 7.7% 13.2% 24.5% 24.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.