Race 4A

morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rachel Foster 11.4% 9.6% 12.0% 10.1% 10.2% 9.4% 8.9% 8.7% 8.6% 5.2% 3.6% 1.8% 0.5%
Kyle Dochoda 14.9% 13.7% 13.7% 11.8% 10.5% 9.5% 8.2% 5.6% 6.8% 2.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.4%
Andrew Savage 4.4% 4.7% 6.4% 6.3% 7.0% 7.7% 8.9% 7.1% 11.2% 12.5% 10.2% 9.7% 3.9%
Martin Tipton 4.1% 6.8% 4.1% 6.1% 7.1% 8.2% 8.4% 8.6% 9.9% 11.3% 13.3% 9.2% 2.9%
Walter Henry 14.0% 13.4% 12.7% 9.4% 10.2% 9.0% 9.2% 7.9% 6.0% 4.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.3%
Michael O'Flaherty 11.1% 11.2% 10.5% 10.5% 9.2% 10.5% 9.0% 7.8% 7.3% 6.2% 4.1% 2.2% 0.4%
Henry Proud 2.2% 3.0% 2.2% 2.8% 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 5.3% 5.9% 7.4% 12.4% 24.1% 23.5%
Perham Black 9.9% 9.9% 11.5% 9.6% 10.2% 7.0% 11.1% 10.7% 6.9% 5.9% 4.2% 2.5% 0.6%
Francis Doyle 7.3% 6.0% 6.8% 8.3% 8.1% 9.3% 8.5% 8.6% 10.1% 9.2% 8.6% 6.2% 3.0%
Peter Schneider 7.5% 6.4% 5.2% 7.9% 8.4% 8.0% 7.2% 11.0% 7.9% 10.0% 9.9% 7.5% 3.1%
Alexander Bowen 9.3% 10.1% 10.2% 11.3% 7.7% 9.8% 9.5% 9.0% 7.1% 7.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.9%
Charles Lindsay 2.8% 4.4% 3.6% 4.2% 6.0% 6.5% 5.1% 6.8% 8.9% 11.7% 14.7% 16.2% 9.1%
Zak Dasaro 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 2.9% 3.4% 6.6% 9.6% 16.1% 51.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.