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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.60+3.66vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.28+3.53vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+3.01vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.46+1.02vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.20+0.61vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.57+1.44vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.74-0.07vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.57-0.54vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.83-2.10vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-1.51vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.60-1.01vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.30-6.39vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.05-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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6.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.02Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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5.61Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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7.44Yale University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.9Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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9.99Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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5.61Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.35Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Dochoda | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Bowen | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Walter Henry | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Perham Black | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Martin Tipton | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 3.1% |
| Peter Schneider | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Savage | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 2.7% |
| Francis Doyle | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Charles Lindsay | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 9.4% |
| Henry Proud | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 21.9% | 23.1% |
| Rachel Foster | 9.0% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Zak Dasaro | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.