← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.10+3.34vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.71+3.28vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida2.70+2.19vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin1.94+2.55vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.28-1.14vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College2.60-0.68vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-3.16vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.20-3.91vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University2.02-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.34Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
-
5.28U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
-
5.19University of South Florida2.700.1%1st Place
-
6.55University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
-
3.86Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
-
5.32Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
-
3.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
-
4.09College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
-
6.53Old Dominion University2.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa Warner | 14.4% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Killian Corbishley | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 9.0% |
| Hillary Noble | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 8.9% |
| Mary Cummins | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 30.7% |
| Nancy Hagood | 18.9% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.7% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 17.2% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 16.4% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Arianna Baker | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.