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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.74+6.02vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.57+5.54vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.28+2.49vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+4.63vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.46-0.07vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.30-0.62vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.57+0.47vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.60-3.42vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.20-3.18vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.03vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.83-4.33vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.05-0.72vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.60-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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8.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.0%1st Place
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4.93Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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5.38Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.47Yale University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.58Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.82Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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5.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.67Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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11.28Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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10.22Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Schneider | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Savage | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lindsay | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 8.8% |
| Walter Henry | 13.7% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Foster | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Martin Tipton | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 15.0% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Perham Black | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Bowen | 10.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Zak Dasaro | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 16.8% | 52.1% |
| Henry Proud | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 23.7% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.