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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+4.44vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.57+5.62vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+3.09vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.28+1.49vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.60-0.44vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+2.26vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.74-0.02vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.83-1.19vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.05+2.17vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.57-2.42vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.20-5.45vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.46-6.80vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.60-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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4.56Boston University2.600.2%1st Place
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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11.17Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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7.58Yale University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.55Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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5.2Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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10.24Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Savage | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 4.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 15.6% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Julian | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 8.2% |
| Peter Schneider | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Francis Doyle | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Zak Dasaro | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 17.9% | 51.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
| Perham Black | 9.8% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Walter Henry | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Henry Proud | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 25.8% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.