Race 8A

morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Andrew Savage 5.3% 4.9% 4.5% 7.1% 7.7% 8.4% 7.2% 7.4% 11.5% 10.6% 11.6% 10.3% 3.5%
Rachel Foster 9.8% 10.6% 11.3% 10.9% 11.0% 9.8% 9.6% 7.3% 7.0% 6.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.7%
Perham Black 8.4% 10.8% 10.8% 9.6% 9.3% 8.2% 10.7% 9.2% 7.9% 6.5% 4.6% 3.3% 0.7%
Kyle Dochoda 15.2% 14.2% 13.3% 12.4% 9.8% 8.5% 7.7% 7.4% 4.9% 3.7% 1.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Walter Henry 14.2% 13.6% 12.4% 10.5% 9.9% 10.4% 6.8% 7.4% 5.0% 5.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
Martin Tipton 6.3% 5.0% 5.6% 6.9% 7.0% 6.5% 8.4% 9.8% 8.3% 10.2% 12.2% 9.5% 4.3%
Zak Dasaro 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 2.2% 3.2% 4.5% 4.8% 9.0% 16.9% 49.1%
Peter Schneider 6.6% 6.4% 6.8% 6.6% 6.8% 8.8% 9.9% 8.7% 10.5% 10.2% 10.6% 6.7% 1.4%
Michael O'Flaherty 10.7% 10.1% 10.2% 11.4% 10.1% 9.5% 6.7% 9.5% 7.7% 6.6% 3.7% 2.8% 1.0%
Meredith Julian 5.4% 4.0% 3.5% 4.0% 7.8% 5.8% 6.7% 6.7% 8.3% 12.4% 12.6% 13.5% 9.3%
Francis Doyle 7.0% 7.3% 8.1% 9.0% 7.6% 9.6% 9.4% 9.0% 9.9% 8.0% 7.9% 5.4% 1.8%
Alexander Bowen 8.7% 9.7% 9.4% 8.0% 8.5% 8.9% 10.0% 9.3% 8.9% 7.8% 6.0% 3.5% 1.3%
Henry Proud 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 2.1% 2.8% 3.1% 4.7% 5.1% 5.6% 8.1% 13.0% 24.0% 26.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.