Race 1B

morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Harris Padegs 10.3% 9.6% 11.3% 10.9% 10.6% 9.8% 8.8% 9.8% 8.0% 5.2% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
Parker Colantuono 15.3% 15.1% 15.5% 14.4% 11.0% 9.2% 7.5% 4.9% 3.6% 1.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Caleb Robinson 17.9% 17.8% 13.6% 11.8% 10.5% 10.6% 7.9% 4.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Puopolo 13.3% 12.9% 12.0% 13.8% 10.7% 9.8% 9.3% 7.2% 5.0% 3.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Jeremy McCulloch 7.4% 6.5% 9.1% 8.7% 7.2% 10.4% 9.1% 9.3% 11.0% 8.7% 7.0% 4.4% 1.2%
Joshua Stone 6.1% 5.5% 5.2% 7.8% 9.2% 8.6% 8.9% 9.0% 11.7% 10.3% 9.8% 6.1% 1.8%
Gabriel Hannon 12.4% 11.5% 12.2% 8.7% 12.2% 10.3% 9.3% 8.6% 6.6% 3.6% 3.4% 0.8% 0.4%
Liviu Mosnoi 1.7% 3.1% 1.6% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.9% 5.8% 7.7% 10.9% 13.5% 20.8% 21.1%
Emmett Ulian 4.8% 5.3% 5.1% 6.2% 7.3% 7.0% 9.1% 10.3% 11.4% 11.4% 11.2% 6.5% 4.4%
Stephen Poirier 3.9% 4.7% 3.3% 4.4% 5.4% 8.0% 7.4% 8.5% 11.2% 13.0% 11.9% 9.9% 8.4%
John Duncan 4.2% 5.4% 7.0% 6.5% 7.4% 7.5% 9.6% 10.8% 9.0% 11.8% 10.1% 7.2% 3.5%
Connor Larson 1.0% 0.8% 2.0% 1.7% 2.0% 2.5% 3.2% 5.3% 4.6% 7.4% 11.9% 19.4% 38.2%
Andrew Vernon 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 3.0% 6.0% 6.3% 6.4% 11.2% 13.8% 22.2% 20.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.