Race 2B

morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caleb Robinson 18.0% 17.0% 14.2% 13.6% 10.2% 8.9% 8.7% 3.9% 2.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Andrew Puopolo 13.4% 12.7% 12.3% 12.2% 12.2% 10.4% 8.5% 7.2% 4.9% 3.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Parker Colantuono 17.1% 15.5% 14.2% 12.2% 11.0% 10.2% 7.2% 5.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Harris Padegs 9.7% 9.6% 11.0% 11.7% 11.1% 8.6% 10.8% 8.9% 7.1% 6.2% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
John Duncan 5.3% 4.6% 6.3% 7.6% 5.7% 8.4% 7.9% 10.1% 10.4% 11.4% 11.6% 7.7% 3.0%
Joshua Stone 6.2% 5.0% 6.7% 7.4% 8.7% 8.3% 9.2% 9.8% 11.8% 9.1% 8.0% 7.3% 2.5%
Emmett Ulian 6.2% 4.8% 7.3% 6.4% 6.7% 6.1% 8.4% 11.1% 11.2% 11.8% 8.9% 8.0% 3.1%
Gabriel Hannon 10.8% 12.5% 9.8% 10.8% 10.6% 12.2% 11.3% 8.3% 6.1% 3.0% 3.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Jeremy McCulloch 6.3% 7.7% 7.7% 6.4% 9.7% 9.4% 10.0% 10.4% 10.0% 9.1% 6.5% 5.5% 1.3%
Connor Larson 1.0% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 2.2% 2.9% 3.8% 6.1% 9.0% 10.6% 18.5% 37.4%
Andrew Vernon 1.7% 2.3% 2.1% 3.1% 4.3% 4.8% 4.0% 6.5% 8.6% 11.0% 14.9% 17.7% 19.0%
Stephen Poirier 2.6% 4.7% 4.1% 4.1% 5.4% 6.6% 7.5% 7.9% 9.4% 12.5% 15.9% 11.6% 7.7%
Liviu Mosnoi 1.7% 1.6% 2.2% 2.4% 2.1% 3.9% 3.6% 6.6% 7.6% 10.3% 13.7% 19.5% 24.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.