Race 3B

morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caleb Robinson 18.3% 17.1% 13.4% 13.1% 12.0% 9.5% 7.0% 4.7% 2.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Parker Colantuono 16.9% 16.5% 15.8% 11.3% 10.9% 9.5% 6.6% 6.6% 2.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Jeremy McCulloch 5.4% 7.0% 6.7% 10.8% 8.3% 9.2% 8.7% 10.9% 12.5% 9.4% 6.3% 3.6% 1.2%
Joshua Stone 4.6% 5.4% 6.7% 6.5% 7.9% 9.3% 10.2% 9.5% 10.5% 11.9% 9.6% 6.3% 1.6%
Emmett Ulian 5.0% 5.2% 6.4% 7.9% 6.7% 7.2% 8.5% 9.1% 12.7% 11.6% 10.7% 6.3% 2.7%
Stephen Poirier 4.8% 2.8% 5.3% 5.0% 4.6% 7.6% 8.7% 7.8% 11.7% 11.2% 12.0% 12.6% 5.9%
Andrew Vernon 2.9% 2.6% 1.9% 3.3% 3.6% 4.3% 4.6% 6.4% 7.4% 9.8% 16.7% 19.5% 17.0%
John Duncan 5.1% 4.8% 4.7% 5.6% 6.8% 8.8% 9.3% 9.7% 12.6% 12.8% 9.8% 6.8% 3.2%
Connor Larson 1.4% 1.4% 1.9% 1.4% 3.0% 2.3% 3.9% 3.3% 4.8% 8.7% 13.0% 20.6% 34.3%
Andrew Puopolo 14.3% 13.8% 12.1% 12.7% 9.6% 9.3% 8.9% 7.7% 5.6% 3.6% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Gabriel Hannon 11.6% 10.9% 13.9% 10.6% 11.7% 9.2% 9.6% 9.4% 4.9% 4.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Jacob Asher 0.9% 1.2% 2.1% 2.2% 2.0% 3.8% 3.6% 4.9% 4.3% 8.5% 12.5% 20.6% 33.4%
Harris Padegs 8.8% 11.3% 9.1% 9.6% 12.9% 10.0% 10.4% 10.0% 7.8% 4.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.