Race 4B

morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caleb Robinson 17.7% 17.0% 15.2% 12.0% 11.4% 8.3% 8.4% 4.7% 3.0% 0.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Parker Colantuono 17.3% 16.1% 15.8% 12.8% 9.2% 10.2% 6.6% 5.6% 3.4% 1.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Puopolo 13.5% 12.8% 12.8% 11.0% 11.1% 11.6% 9.9% 7.4% 4.5% 2.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Emmett Ulian 4.0% 5.2% 6.3% 6.5% 8.2% 7.1% 8.4% 10.2% 10.7% 12.5% 10.8% 7.0% 3.1%
John Duncan 5.5% 5.0% 5.9% 7.0% 7.2% 7.4% 8.3% 10.2% 10.2% 11.7% 10.8% 8.2% 2.6%
Stephen Poirier 4.5% 3.7% 4.1% 4.7% 6.1% 8.2% 6.7% 7.9% 12.0% 11.7% 12.5% 12.4% 5.5%
Jeremy McCulloch 7.5% 6.9% 8.0% 8.1% 8.4% 8.3% 10.9% 10.5% 10.3% 9.6% 6.8% 4.0% 0.7%
Joshua Stone 5.3% 6.5% 5.3% 7.1% 7.1% 9.0% 9.7% 11.2% 11.8% 11.0% 8.1% 5.2% 2.7%
Gabriel Hannon 10.9% 11.7% 11.5% 11.4% 10.5% 9.5% 10.6% 7.1% 6.8% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.0%
Connor Larson 0.9% 2.1% 2.2% 1.8% 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 4.2% 6.2% 7.4% 12.5% 20.4% 34.8%
Andrew Vernon 2.0% 1.9% 1.7% 3.8% 4.6% 3.5% 5.4% 6.4% 7.7% 12.7% 15.7% 18.4% 16.2%
Jacob Asher 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 4.1% 4.1% 6.5% 7.0% 11.8% 20.9% 34.0%
Harris Padegs 10.0% 9.7% 9.5% 11.6% 11.3% 11.5% 8.4% 10.5% 6.9% 5.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.