Race 5B

morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Josh Dochoda 26.5% 20.7% 16.9% 11.4% 11.4% 5.5% 3.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gordon Gurnell 10.7% 11.7% 11.9% 12.5% 11.9% 10.8% 10.5% 9.6% 5.1% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Joshua Stone 4.0% 3.3% 6.7% 8.6% 7.3% 9.5% 9.2% 11.3% 14.1% 12.0% 8.3% 4.8% 0.9%
John Duncan 3.8% 4.2% 4.8% 6.4% 8.1% 8.6% 9.5% 10.7% 11.5% 13.4% 11.2% 6.1% 1.7%
Parker Colantuono 15.6% 16.7% 13.6% 11.9% 11.0% 11.5% 8.0% 4.8% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Liviu Mosnoi 1.1% 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 2.6% 4.0% 5.2% 7.0% 8.3% 14.0% 19.3% 17.9% 12.8%
Emmett Ulian 5.4% 5.3% 5.5% 6.6% 6.3% 8.3% 8.7% 11.7% 13.9% 12.3% 9.3% 5.5% 1.2%
Gabriel Hannon 9.7% 12.3% 10.3% 10.6% 10.9% 12.3% 12.6% 8.9% 6.4% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Andrew Puopolo 11.0% 12.3% 13.3% 11.5% 11.9% 11.1% 9.8% 7.9% 6.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Lulu Russell 8.8% 8.8% 9.2% 11.8% 10.6% 9.5% 10.4% 10.7% 8.3% 6.8% 2.5% 2.3% 0.3%
Andrew Vernon 1.7% 1.4% 1.8% 3.4% 4.7% 5.0% 6.0% 6.6% 10.7% 13.2% 17.2% 18.0% 10.3%
Connor Larson 0.9% 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 1.4% 2.9% 4.8% 5.1% 6.6% 8.6% 14.7% 24.0% 26.3%
Christopher King 0.8% 0.3% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 1.0% 1.7% 3.1% 4.0% 7.9% 12.1% 19.5% 45.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.