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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+3.28vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.94+3.25vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.13+4.45vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.91-0.86vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+0.58vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.05-1.08vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.12-2.25vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.23-0.97vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.08-1.47vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.23-0.46vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.18-0.67vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.18-2.16vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.65-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.25Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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7.45Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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3.14Boston University2.910.3%1st Place
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5.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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4.92Connecticut College2.050.1%1st Place
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4.75Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.54Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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10.33Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.84Yale University0.180.0%1st Place
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11.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 14.4% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Ulian | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Josh Dochoda | 25.7% | 20.5% | 18.2% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lulu Russell | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 10.8% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 13.6% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Stone | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| John Duncan | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Vernon | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 16.5% | 13.4% |
| Connor Larson | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 22.9% | 21.2% |
| Liviu Mosnoi | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 18.3% | 20.3% | 14.9% |
| Christopher King | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 19.9% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.