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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.48+3.01vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University-1.54+6.21vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.58+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.46+1.92vs Predicted
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5Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+2.16vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-1.26+1.37vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.17-4.30vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.61-1.90vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.51-1.09vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.94-6.89vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-2.68-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Jacksonville University0.4813.5%1st Place
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8.21Embry-Riddle University-1.541.8%1st Place
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3.71Rollins College0.5815.5%1st Place
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5.92University of Central Florida-0.465.2%1st Place
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7.16Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.112.5%1st Place
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7.37Florida Institute of Technology-1.262.5%1st Place
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2.7Jacksonville University1.1729.9%1st Place
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6.1Unknown School-0.614.5%1st Place
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7.91Embry-Riddle University-1.512.2%1st Place
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3.11Jacksonville University0.9421.5%1st Place
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9.79University of Central Florida-2.680.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Seiffert | 13.5% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 24.6% | 14.8% |
| Shay Bridge | 15.5% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Hjort | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 5.3% |
| William Meade | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 7.0% |
| Nate Bonham | 29.9% | 23.5% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakob Barski | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Josh Rosen | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 20.1% | 12.1% |
| Darby Smith | 21.5% | 21.9% | 19.8% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.