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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.10+3.31vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.70+3.30vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+0.96vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.71+0.99vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20-1.00vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.60-0.68vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.02-0.42vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-4.15vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.94-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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5.3University of South Florida2.700.1%1st Place
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3.96Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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4.99U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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4.0College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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5.32Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
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6.58Old Dominion University2.020.0%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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6.67University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa Warner | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 3.2% |
| Hillary Noble | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 9.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 17.0% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Killian Corbishley | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 17.4% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% |
| Arianna Baker | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 19.5% | 27.7% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 18.0% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Mary Cummins | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.