← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.91+2.08vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.12+2.70vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.36+1.15vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.94+1.14vs Predicted
-
5Yale University-0.11+4.95vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.05-1.20vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.08+0.17vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College0.57+0.57vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont1.23-2.04vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-4.45vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.65+0.05vs Predicted
-
12Washington College0.23-2.55vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University-0.18-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.08Boston University2.910.3%1st Place
-
4.7Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
-
4.15University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
5.14Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
-
9.95Yale University-0.110.0%1st Place
-
4.8Connecticut College2.050.1%1st Place
-
7.17Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
-
8.57Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
-
6.96University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
-
5.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
-
11.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.650.0%1st Place
-
9.45Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
-
10.41Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 26.3% | 21.0% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 14.5% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Asher | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 19.2% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Duncan | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Preston Anderson | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 4.8% |
| Joshua Stone | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Lulu Russell | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Christopher King | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 38.1% |
| Andrew Vernon | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 10.9% |
| Connor Larson | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.