Race 8B

morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Josh Dochoda 25.7% 23.5% 16.2% 12.2% 9.0% 6.2% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Puopolo 13.1% 12.7% 10.9% 14.1% 12.9% 9.8% 9.8% 7.2% 5.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Gabriel Hannon 8.9% 10.2% 12.3% 10.9% 12.1% 12.8% 11.2% 9.3% 6.3% 4.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Andrew Vernon 1.6% 1.3% 2.0% 2.8% 5.4% 3.8% 6.5% 7.8% 10.3% 13.9% 16.8% 17.6% 10.2%
John Duncan 5.1% 3.8% 7.0% 7.7% 6.7% 8.0% 10.7% 11.0% 14.6% 11.4% 8.7% 4.2% 1.1%
Gordon Gurnell 11.6% 11.5% 12.7% 11.7% 13.1% 11.7% 9.2% 8.1% 4.9% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Parker Colantuono 15.6% 16.2% 15.1% 13.4% 10.9% 11.2% 6.9% 5.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Lulu Russell 8.7% 9.4% 9.8% 10.6% 10.4% 11.4% 12.5% 11.8% 7.6% 4.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Joshua Stone 4.7% 5.9% 6.4% 6.6% 6.7% 10.7% 10.0% 14.4% 12.1% 11.5% 6.7% 3.3% 1.0%
Christopher King 0.4% 1.2% 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 2.3% 3.3% 2.0% 4.7% 9.5% 11.8% 21.0% 39.4%
Preston Anderson 2.5% 2.1% 3.2% 4.7% 7.2% 6.0% 7.8% 9.4% 15.5% 12.9% 15.4% 8.3% 5.0%
Jacob Asher 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 2.3% 3.9% 4.8% 6.0% 7.8% 10.1% 18.0% 21.6% 20.5%
Connor Larson 1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 2.6% 1.4% 2.2% 3.1% 5.8% 7.1% 13.2% 16.6% 21.6% 22.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.