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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.94+4.16vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+3.63vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.12+1.74vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.91-0.91vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.05-0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.23+0.89vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36-2.85vs Predicted
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8Yale University0.18+1.51vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.23+0.41vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.08-2.65vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.57-2.54vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.18-1.57vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.65-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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5.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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4.74Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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3.09Boston University2.910.3%1st Place
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4.88Connecticut College2.050.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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4.15University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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9.51Yale University0.180.0%1st Place
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9.41Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.46Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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10.43Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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11.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hannon | 9.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lulu Russell | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Josh Dochoda | 26.9% | 20.9% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Stone | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 16.4% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liviu Mosnoi | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 19.0% | 10.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 12.3% |
| John Duncan | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Preston Anderson | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 5.2% |
| Connor Larson | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 22.3% | 24.0% |
| Christopher King | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 20.7% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.