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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+4.60vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.69+5.86vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+6.06vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+2.47vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+4.20vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+3.32vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06-0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.13+1.80vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.33-3.29vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.36-0.71vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.16vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.24-2.39vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-1.92vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-1.61vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.72-10.41vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.76-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.86Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.47Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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5.71Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.29Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.61Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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11.08Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.39Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.59Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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11.41Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% |
| Talia Toland | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Claire Havig | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 30.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 17.1% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.