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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+5.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+7.09vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+2.64vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+4.15vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.92vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.13+4.04vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33-1.15vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.06-1.54vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+0.15vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.24-0.33vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.72-6.46vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.40-2.95vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-1.89vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.76-2.79vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.36-5.65vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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5.64Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.15Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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5.85Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.46Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.67Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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4.54Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.11Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.35Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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12.55Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 8.6% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 8.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% |
| Claire Havig | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 17.9% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.6% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 15.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.