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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.70vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.69vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+3.65vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+1.83vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.24+4.69vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+3.27vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36+2.27vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40+0.85vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-4.42vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.69-1.96vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.76+0.23vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.82-0.92vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.15-6.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-4.89vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.13-4.87vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.69Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.83Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.69Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.85Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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4.58Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.04Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.23Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.08Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.3Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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12.58Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Claire Havig | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Talia Toland | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 17.7% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 17.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 17.7% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 6.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.