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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+4.59vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+2.56vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+3.33vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+2.79vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+3.24vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.24+2.72vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40+0.92vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.19vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.69-1.98vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36-1.81vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.76-0.75vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-1.95vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.13-4.12vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-2.45vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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4.56Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.33Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.77Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.72Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.19Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.25Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.05Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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12.55Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 17.4% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| Claire Havig | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Talia Toland | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 18.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.1% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 17.1% | 30.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.