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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.24+8.52vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.13+7.90vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+2.71vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+2.46vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+2.98vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.94vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06-0.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.18vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.82+2.02vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.72-5.45vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-1.85vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.40-2.91vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.76-1.72vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-4.91vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-2.43vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.33-10.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.52Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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5.71Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.46Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.98Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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4.55Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.09Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.28Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.09Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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12.57Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.79Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Havig | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 14.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 15.8% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Talia Toland | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 16.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 32.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.