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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.68vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.78vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+3.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+0.65vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36+4.22vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+3.68vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+2.33vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.13+1.86vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.76+2.21vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.40-0.87vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.15-4.66vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-2.77vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.69-5.08vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-1.63vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.35-9.28vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.82-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.65Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.68Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.34Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.92Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.37Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.72Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.22Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 16.4% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
| Claire Havig | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.2% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 16.3% |
| Talia Toland | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 29.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.