← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.72+3.43vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.35+3.68vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.87vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.69+4.11vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.40+4.05vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.24+3.69vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.37vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.36+1.03vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.06-2.44vs Predicted
-
10Boston College3.15-3.58vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.82+0.07vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.13-2.00vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-3.82vs Predicted
-
14Yale University3.33-8.38vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College1.76-3.62vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University1.39-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.43Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
-
5.68Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
8.11Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
-
9.05Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
-
9.69Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
-
9.37University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
9.03Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
-
6.56Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
6.42Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
11.07Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
-
10.0University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
-
9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
-
5.62Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
11.38Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
-
12.56Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 17.7% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Talia Toland | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Claire Havig | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 15.1% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 15.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.