Race 11B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Genoa Warner 15.0% 13.0% 14.4% 11.8% 13.0% 11.3% 9.7% 7.9% 3.9%
Nancy Hagood 13.8% 16.3% 14.7% 14.6% 12.3% 10.2% 8.7% 6.5% 2.9%
Grace Lucas 16.4% 15.2% 12.9% 12.8% 12.7% 11.4% 9.0% 6.4% 3.2%
Mary Cummins 4.2% 4.2% 7.2% 7.6% 6.5% 10.4% 11.2% 19.1% 29.6%
Arianna Baker 4.3% 6.5% 8.4% 6.5% 7.7% 10.3% 11.6% 15.5% 29.2%
Lara Dallman-Weiss 8.4% 10.2% 7.9% 10.1% 13.1% 11.4% 15.4% 13.1% 10.4%
Hillary Noble 9.5% 8.9% 10.3% 10.6% 11.3% 14.1% 13.9% 12.7% 8.7%
Killian Corbishley 10.1% 9.4% 10.0% 11.3% 11.5% 10.9% 13.1% 13.5% 10.2%
Jennifer Proctor 18.3% 16.3% 14.2% 14.7% 11.9% 10.0% 7.4% 5.3% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.