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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.17+1.70vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.48+1.99vs Predicted
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3Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+4.21vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.94-0.91vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-1.51+2.87vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.58-2.31vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-1.54+1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.46-1.90vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-1.26-1.63vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-2.68-0.22vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-0.61-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Jacksonville University1.1729.7%1st Place
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3.99Jacksonville University0.4813.3%1st Place
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7.21Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.112.9%1st Place
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3.09Jacksonville University0.9421.8%1st Place
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7.87Embry-Riddle University-1.511.8%1st Place
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3.69Rollins College0.5815.6%1st Place
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8.14Embry-Riddle University-1.541.8%1st Place
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6.1University of Central Florida-0.464.8%1st Place
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7.37Florida Institute of Technology-1.262.7%1st Place
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9.78University of Central Florida-2.680.6%1st Place
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6.06Unknown School-0.615.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Bonham | 29.7% | 22.6% | 19.9% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 13.3% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 5.4% |
| Darby Smith | 21.8% | 22.6% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 20.9% | 11.6% |
| Shay Bridge | 15.6% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 22.5% | 14.9% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| William Meade | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 7.3% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 58.1% |
| Jakob Barski | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.