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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+6.83vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+4.34vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.84vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+1.82vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.24+4.67vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33-0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.30vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-3.57vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.40-0.01vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.06-3.31vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.13-1.02vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-2.87vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39-0.58vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.76-2.83vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.82-3.80vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.34Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.82Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.67Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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5.85Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.43Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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12.42Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.17Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.2Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Claire Havig | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.3% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 18.4% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 29.5% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 17.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.