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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.62vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+2.57vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.36+6.19vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+4.08vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15+1.40vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.82+5.12vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.99vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-2.48vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.24+0.57vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-0.77vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.06-4.39vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.40-2.93vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.76-1.74vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-4.91vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-2.44vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.13-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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4.57Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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9.19Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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6.4Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.52Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.61Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.26Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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12.56Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 17.1% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 16.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Claire Havig | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Talia Toland | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| Julia Leighton | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 16.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 31.6% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.