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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+7.87vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.36+7.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+6.20vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+4.07vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72-0.45vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.93vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06-0.33vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-2.50vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+0.12vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.33-4.24vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.15-4.68vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.76-0.82vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.90-2.26vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.24-4.54vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-2.49vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.82-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.04Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.55Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.5Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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5.76Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.32Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.18Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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9.46Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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12.51Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.08Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 15.9% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 17.7% |
| Emma Marston | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% |
| Claire Havig | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 18.8% | 28.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.