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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+3.44vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.77vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+2.63vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.89vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+4.11vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+0.74vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+2.36vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.36+1.04vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.15-2.69vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.82+1.19vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.76+0.28vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.13-2.03vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-3.81vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.24-4.52vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.69-6.97vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.63Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.89Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.74Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.04Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.31Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.19Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.28Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.48Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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8.03Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.57Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 18.3% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Talia Toland | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 13.7% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 17.5% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Claire Havig | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.