← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.06+5.52vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.75vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.35+2.69vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.33+1.87vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.72-0.45vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.69+2.03vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College1.76+4.34vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.24+1.52vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.40-0.04vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.13+0.10vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.36-1.85vs Predicted
-
12Boston College3.15-5.61vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-3.76vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.82-3.01vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.36-5.66vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University1.39-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.52Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
5.69Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
5.87Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
4.55Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
-
8.03Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
-
11.34Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
-
9.52Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
-
8.96Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
10.1University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
-
9.15Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
6.39Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
-
10.99Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
-
9.34University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
12.56Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.5% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 16.3% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.3% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 16.3% |
| Claire Havig | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Talia Toland | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 14.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.