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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+6.57vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+4.42vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+2.44vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.70vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.04vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36+3.03vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-2.44vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.15-1.96vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.43vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.13-0.22vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.76-0.08vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.24-2.63vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.40-4.29vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.82-3.31vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-2.73vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.18-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.44Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.7Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.03Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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4.56Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.04Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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10.92Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.69Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.27Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 17.5% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.7% |
| Claire Havig | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Talia Toland | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 23.0% |
| Meghan Haviland | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.