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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.10+3.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.70+2.20vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20-0.01vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28-1.16vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.60-0.71vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.02-0.39vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.71-2.89vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.94-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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4.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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5.2University of South Florida2.700.1%1st Place
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3.99College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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3.84Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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5.29Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
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6.61Old Dominion University2.020.0%1st Place
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5.11U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa Warner | 15.2% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 12.7% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Hillary Noble | 9.2% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 15.7% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 19.0% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 10.1% |
| Arianna Baker | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 28.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 8.6% |
| Mary Cummins | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 18.4% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.