Race 3A

greg-popp-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nate Bonham 28.5% 23.9% 17.9% 13.8% 9.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Darby Smith 24.1% 20.5% 19.1% 15.2% 9.8% 6.0% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Shay Bridge 14.2% 17.2% 16.4% 17.0% 14.9% 9.6% 6.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Joe Seiffert 13.1% 15.6% 16.1% 16.2% 14.2% 12.3% 6.4% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Jakob Barski 4.3% 5.3% 8.2% 9.4% 12.1% 14.6% 14.6% 13.6% 9.4% 6.6% 1.8%
Nathan Hjort 3.0% 3.9% 4.5% 5.0% 8.3% 10.2% 12.8% 16.0% 17.2% 13.8% 5.3%
Josh Rosen 2.2% 2.2% 3.2% 3.5% 5.7% 8.6% 12.2% 13.0% 18.1% 19.4% 12.0%
Rylie Cataldo 1.6% 1.9% 3.0% 3.2% 4.7% 6.5% 9.6% 13.4% 17.0% 23.9% 15.2%
Julian Larsen 4.1% 6.2% 7.6% 9.9% 11.2% 15.7% 15.2% 13.8% 9.6% 5.0% 1.8%
William Meade 3.6% 2.8% 3.2% 5.0% 7.8% 9.0% 13.5% 15.5% 17.9% 15.3% 6.5%
Nicolas Benavides 1.1% 0.7% 0.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 4.2% 6.3% 7.4% 15.2% 57.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.