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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+4.22vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+3.29vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.15+5.85vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+0.88vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.59+5.85vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-0.77vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+2.39vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.75+2.10vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-3.07vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-2.85vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.32+0.65vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.12-3.08vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.64-2.41vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.34-2.46vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.82-4.89vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.77-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.29Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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4.88Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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5.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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10.1Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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5.93Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.92Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.59Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.54Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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10.11Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.5% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.0% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Engeman | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% |
| Emily Haig | 13.4% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Emma White | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 21.3% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 19.7% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.