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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+4.19vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+2.70vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+2.89vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+5.39vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.12vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.32+5.61vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.64+3.62vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.59+2.59vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.34+2.52vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77+0.19vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.15-2.23vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.75-1.79vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.82-3.11vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-7.14vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.79-4.84vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.20-10.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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4.7Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.89Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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5.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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11.61Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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11.52Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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10.19Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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10.21Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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9.89Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.86Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.16Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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5.27Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 16.4% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Christina Nothacker | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Emily Haig | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 19.8% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% |
| Amanda Engeman | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% |
| Madeline Pope | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 17.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 6.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.2% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.