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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+4.25vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+3.26vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+2.92vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+0.82vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.64+5.71vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+4.25vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.82+3.11vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15+0.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+0.24vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.59+0.91vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.34+0.60vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-6.87vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-3.74vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-7.07vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.32-3.30vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.79-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.26Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.92Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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4.82Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.71Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.25Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.11Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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11.6Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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5.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.7Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.18Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.9% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Amanda Engeman | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 19.6% |
| Emily Haig | 13.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 20.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.