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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+3.59vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+7.04vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+2.24vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.12+4.97vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.82+4.90vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20-0.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.83vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.32+3.40vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-3.14vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.34+1.54vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.64-0.57vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77-1.94vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.59-2.42vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-7.11vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.15-6.16vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.14-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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5.24Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.97Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.9Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.3Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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11.4Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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5.86Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.54Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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10.43Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.06Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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12.17Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 16.5% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 16.9% |
| Emma White | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Pope | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 15.7% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% |
| Amanda Engeman | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.