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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+4.90vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+3.38vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+2.33vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.29vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38-0.19vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12+3.10vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65+0.21vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.77+2.15vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+0.29vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.59+1.00vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.64-0.34vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.15-3.06vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.82-2.93vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.32-2.33vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-5.57vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.34-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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5.38Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.33Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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4.81Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.1Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.21Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.15Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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10.66Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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10.07Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.67Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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11.76Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Emily Haig | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Amanda Engeman | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 20.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Madeline Pope | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.