← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.81+3.80vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.94+4.79vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.10+1.25vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.34vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida2.70-0.11vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.71-1.04vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston3.20-3.04vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.02-1.57vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College2.60-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.8Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
-
6.79University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
-
4.25Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
-
3.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
-
4.89University of South Florida2.700.1%1st Place
-
4.96U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
-
3.96College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
-
6.43Old Dominion University2.020.1%1st Place
-
5.26Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Burke | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 6.3% |
| Mary Cummins | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 32.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 14.9% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 18.0% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Hillary Noble | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 7.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 16.5% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Arianna Baker | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 27.6% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.