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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.17+1.71vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.48+1.90vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+0.10vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-0.61+2.15vs Predicted
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5Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+2.20vs Predicted
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6University of Central Florida-0.46-0.04vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-1.54+1.22vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.51-0.10vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.58-5.28vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-1.26-2.59vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-2.68-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Jacksonville University1.1728.1%1st Place
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3.9Jacksonville University0.4815.0%1st Place
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3.1Jacksonville University0.9422.4%1st Place
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6.15Unknown School-0.614.5%1st Place
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7.2Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.112.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Central Florida-0.465.9%1st Place
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8.22Embry-Riddle University-1.541.7%1st Place
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7.9Embry-Riddle University-1.511.4%1st Place
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3.72Rollins College0.5815.8%1st Place
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7.41Florida Institute of Technology-1.262.2%1st Place
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9.74University of Central Florida-2.680.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Bonham | 28.1% | 24.7% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 15.0% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Darby Smith | 22.4% | 20.5% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jakob Barski | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Hjort | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 6.7% |
| Julian Larsen | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 23.9% | 15.3% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 11.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 15.8% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Meade | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 7.0% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.