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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+4.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+3.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+1.53vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.14+7.72vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.32+6.14vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20-0.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+1.94vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15+0.29vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-4.06vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77-0.22vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.82-1.46vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.12-3.45vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.64-2.89vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.59-3.83vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.65-8.11vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University-0.98-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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5.16Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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4.53Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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11.72Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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11.14Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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5.22Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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4.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.78Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.54Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.55Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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15.41Roger Williams University-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 10.1% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.5% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 25.4% | 6.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 3.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.4% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 0.3% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Haig | 14.9% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 1.6% |
| Amanda Engeman | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Kristi Dolan | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 82.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.